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Presidential Address—8:17 AM

I just finished reading a transcript of President Bush's Oval Office address on the subject of Iraq from Sunday night. (Typical me, I had no idea this was even on until my sarcastic partisan blogs started sniping about it this week.)

It was actually a moving and thoughtful speech, which would be very meaningful if people listened to his words rather than parsing them for political points. I don't think he came across as "contrite" as some journalists have said; I think at this point, if anyone in his administration acknowledges a differing viewpoint, we're trained to see it as some huge admission of fault. It's great that he understands things aren't going well over there. (I guess he watches CNN after all, just not the first two days after Katrina.) I just don't think admitting the obvious is the same as apologizing. (Also, he referred to himself as the president or "Mr. President" a number of times – I think he's trying to remind us who's in charge.)

I happen to agree with Mr. President that it doesn't make sense to create an arbitrary timetable for withdrawing troops from Iraq. They should be home, as soon as possible, but their sacrifice would be pointless if we left Iraq so quickly that the terrorist element could simply take it over again. Every action at this point must be evaluated on two scores: will it help secure a lasting democracy in Iraq, and will it bring our troops home quickly and safely?

Under the guise of "coming clean" with the American people, Bush explained the criticisms of his detractors (in his own words): that the continuing carnage in Iraq means we are losing, and we should leave. Maybe some are saying this, but it sounds to me like a convenient straw man. I interpret that carnage to mean that our original strategy has not been as successful as hoped, and the strategy should be adapted. In broad strokes, I haven't seen the president change his plan or come up with new ideas that might achieve victory sooner and with fewer lives lost. We all want the troops home as quickly and safely as possible, but only the most vituperative partisan hack would argue that they should be pulled out immediately, without regard for completing the mission they were so woefully sent in to undertake.

And also, because they'd take my onebee away from me if I spent too many words agreeing with the president without taking a cheap shot, let's parse a few words for political points:

It is also important for every American to understand the consequences of pulling out of Iraq before our work is done. We would abandon our Iraqi friends – and signal to the world that America cannot be trusted to keep its word.

In other words, it wouldn't pass "the global test." What a smug prick.

5 Comments (Add your comments)

"AC"Wed, 12/21/05 10:48am

I tend to agree with your analysis, but this passage nonetheless gave me the jeebies:

We do not create terrorism by fighting the terrorists. We invite terrorism by ignoring them. And we will defeat the terrorists by capturing and killing them abroad, removing their safe havens, and strengthening new allies like Iraq and Afghanistan in the fight we share.

It's not that I disagree with this statement entirely, but it just seems to be oversimplifying things a bit. It seems like statements like this are what got us into trouble in the first place.

Bee BoyWed, 12/21/05 10:55am

He he! Not to mention, he didn't want to be friends with France and Germany, but he can't wait to cozy up to... Iraq and Afghanistan? Yikes!

I was going to select that passage as my runner-up for parsing for political points, since he said, "we invite terrorism by ignoring them" and I get 50 credits to my Obnoxious Liberal account if I gleefully sing "PDB! PDB! PDB!" in response to that.

"Mike"Thu, 12/22/05 5:17am

Yeah, was that the most understated, under-hyped presidential address in modern memory or what? Where was everyone?

Anyway, I enjoyed your analysis. There is one thing I wish more people would talk about in regards to Bush's 'no timetable'. I think Bush is right, there should not be a timetable, but I don't agree with his reason.

He says that the terrorists will overrun Iraq if we leave. If that's so, why don't the terrorist insurgents bomb the elections? They've had two high-profile chances to do so and they haven't done it. Why? If they hate the new Iraq so much, why do they let people go vote without bombing the hell out of them?

I think the reason to have no timetable is that it gives democracy some time to take root. If we left now, all of the different ethnic groups would be very likely to want their own separate states (like the Kurds and Sunnis both seem to). Multi-ethnic Yugoslavia was held together by Tito (not Jackson, though wouldn't that have been cool?) for years. He dies, it falls apart.

Hussein held Iraq together for years. He's ousted. If we don't stay, it'll fall apart. This is what Powell, in my view, was talking about with the "Pottery Barn rule" in Iraq. We have to stay because if we don't, it is likely that some of the regimes created will break down severely.

It's like the Beatles breakup - when Iraq breaks up it will have Ringo Starr (oppressive regimes) success rather than Paul McCartney success (vegetarian delights, happy tours, new wife). Or something like that.

Joe MulderFri, 12/23/05 5:28pm

He he! Not to mention, he didn't want to be friends with France and Germany, but he can't wait to cozy up to... Iraq and Afghanistan? Yikes!

I cry foul, good sir!

I'm not sure it's a fair comparison, being that France and Germany are allies and democracies, while Afghanistan and Iraq used to be oppressive enemy regimes. You can disagree, even bitterly, with France and Germany, but no matter how mad they get at us, or we at them, we're not going to war with each other.

(I heard someone say once that democracies simply don't go to war against each other, and that they never have. I'm sure if there's an example to the contrary Wagner would know it, but, it's a pretty good point in any case)

Under the guise of "coming clean" with the American people, Bush explained the criticisms of his detractors (in his own words): that the continuing carnage in Iraq means we are losing, and we should leave. Maybe some are saying this, but it sounds to me like a convenient straw man.

This one I can get behind, because it's my least favorite thing about Bush (well, that and the wildly out of control spending when he's supposed to be a conservative; but, then again, we've got a civilizational war to win here). And I'm constantly astonished that no one ever makes fun of him for it. He always does that in every speech, and has for years.

"My opponents like to say that baby tiger cubs aren't cute. I don't share their views on this subject;" "There are some people out there who want to convince you that pizza isn't awesome..."

Where's that "Saturday Night Live" skit? Huh? (I suppose it got bumped at the last minute for the 219th installment of Debbie Downer)

Bee BoySat, 12/24/05 6:01am

I cry foul, good sir!

Oh, shit. We all now know, when Mulder sounds angry, he's just fake-mad, but when he posts a reasonable and polite rebuttal, it means he's furious!

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